Matchweek 14 of the 2025/26 Bundesliga season is here from December 12 to 14, bringing another thrilling set of games as teams aim for good standings before the winter break. The analysis here contributes to the overall Bundesliga predictions for this matchweek, which consider league context and recent performances.
The round kicks off on Friday night with Union Berlin taking on RB Leipzig at 20:30 — a challenging match for Union as Leipzig continues its pursuit of Champions League spots.
On Saturday at 15:30, there’s a packed schedule with four matches happening at the same time. Borussia Mönchengladbach will face Wolfsburg in a closely contested game, while Eintracht Frankfurt goes up against Augsburg in a match that could affect the upper mid-table. Hoffenheim will battle Hamburger SV in a game featuring two teams with very different playing styles, and St. Pauli will host Heidenheim in a fight for teams trying to avoid the relegation zone. Later that evening, Bayer Leverkusen will welcome Köln at 18:30 in a heated local rivalry where both form and league standings will be just as important as the emotions involved.
Sunday wraps up the round with three exciting matches. Freiburg will host Dortmund at 15:30 in a game that could swing either way, Bayern Munich will take on Mainz at 17:30 hoping for a strong home win, and Werder Bremen will meet Stuttgart at 19:30 in an interesting matchup to finish off the weekend.
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Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig
Union Berlin is currently in 12th place, having earned 15 points so far. The team is experiencing one of its most unstable seasons in recent years, scoring 16 goals and conceding 22, which shows a lack of offensive productivity and frequent defensive mistakes. Ansah, Doekhi, and Burke are the most consistent players, but the team generally struggles with creativity in finishing and relies too much on physical play. Their form is weak, with only one win in the last five matches and frequent drops when the opponent sets a high pace.
At home, they have played 7 matches with a record of two wins, three draws, and two losses, resulting in a goal difference of 10:10. This indicates balance, but not security. Union can be a tough opponent, but this season they lack stability and continuity.
RB Leipzig is in 2nd place, just behind Bayern Munich with 29 points and a great goal difference of 28:13. They continue their tradition of playing aggressive and dynamic football. Baumgartner, Diomande, and Romulo Cardoso make a strong offensive impact with their quick combinations and vertical attacks, making them one of the most dangerous attacks in the league.
Their form is strong, with three wins and only one loss in the last five matches. They played their 7th away game, achieving three wins, two draws, and two losses, with a goal difference of 10:10. This shows they are effective but can be vulnerable against organized counterattacks. Leipzig dominates possession and pressing, and their pace is too intense for many teams in the Bundesliga.
Leipzig enters as a clear favorite due to their better structure, individual quality, and current form. Union can defend compactly, but it will be hard for them to keep up the pace throughout the entire match, especially with their current offensive struggles.
T2 2+ (RB Leipzig Over1.5)
Predicted CS: 1:3
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B. Monchengladbach vs Wolfsburg
B. Monchengladbach is in 10th place, having earned 16 points so far. The team has a solid offensive potential with 17 goals scored, but they also face issues in defensive transitions, conceding 19 goals this season. Tabakovic, Machino, and Diks are the main attackers, providing directness and physical strength, but the team sometimes struggles to finish against more compact defenses. Their form is inconsistent, with 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses in 13 matches played, but in the last 5 matches, they have achieved 4 victories.
At home, they have played 7 matches with a record of 1 win, 3 draws, and 3 losses, and a goal difference of 7:14, indicating serious defensive problems and frequent lapses in concentration. Gladbach creates chances, but their defense is not stable enough, which prevents them from progressing in the standings.
Wolfsburg is in 15th place with 12 points, just above the relegation zone. Even though they have a better attack, they are struggling with big ups and downs in their game. The team has scored 17 goals but has also conceded 23, which shows their weak defense. Amoura, Majer, and Svanberg are key players in the offense, but the team often loses momentum after conceding a goal, and maintaining consistent play has been a major issue this season. Their form in the last five matches has been poor, with one win, one draw, and four losses, highlighting their instability.
When playing away, they have participated in 6 matches with a record of two wins, one draw, and three losses, and a goal difference of 7:8. This shows they can be competitive, but they lack the discipline to handle pressure for longer periods.
Both teams come into the match with defensive weaknesses and unstable form, which opens up the possibility for a game with more chances on both sides. Gladbach has a slight advantage at home, but Wolfsburg is dangerous in transition and can easily punish mistakes.
3+ (Over 2.5)
Predicted CS: 2:1
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Eintracht Frankfurt vs Augsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt is in 7th place, having earned 21 points so far. The team has offensive potential, scoring 28 goals and conceding 29, which shows their dynamic but sometimes risky style of play. They combine well in attack through Burkardt and Uzun, who pose the biggest threat, but their defense is often shaky. Their form in the last few matches has been concerning, as they haven’t won in the last 4 games, including two matches in the Champions League. The drop in intensity is also visible in their transitions, where they lose their compactness.
At home, they play solidly in the league, and after 6 matches, they have three wins, one draw, and two losses, with a goal difference of 11:9, indicating they create enough chances but concede goals in almost every match. A problem is that they struggle to control the midfield against physically stronger teams, which adds extra pressure on them.
Augsburg is in 14th place with 13 points so far. The team is having a modest season with a goal difference of 17:27, which shows their biggest weakness, the defense, that often struggles against quick attacks. In offense, they rely on Rieder and Giannoulis, but their creativity is limited, and the team rarely creates clear chances. Their form is unstable with three losses in the last five matches, and especially on the road, they play poorly with one win, one draw, and four losses in six games, with a goal difference of 8:12.
A drop in concentration is a common issue, and the midfield struggles to close spaces during transitions. Although they can occasionally surprise with quick counterattacks, they generally seem vulnerable and tactically inconsistent.
Eintracht is a better team, more aggressive at home, and has greater individual quality in attack, while Augsburg has serious defensive weaknesses. We expect to see a match with goals and dominance from the home team.
1 (Eintracht to Win)
Predicted CS: 3:1
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Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV
Hoffenheim is in 5th place, having earned 23 points so far. The team plays offensively, scoring 25 goals and allowing 19, which shows they have strong attacking potential but also some defensive gaps. Asllani, Promel, Lemperele, and Burger are key players who bring intensity, movement, and finishing to the offense. Their form is good, with three wins in the last five matches, and they have won three consecutive games at home.
As hosts, they have played 6 matches, winning three and losing three, with a goal difference of 11:10, indicating that their games are often open and dynamic. Hoffenheim plays with high pressing, quick transitions, and creates many chances during matches, but they can leave space behind their defense.
Hamburger SV is in 13th place, having earned 15 points so far. The team is having an unstable season, scoring 14 goals and allowing 20, showing clear issues in their defensive organization. Lokonga, Philippe, Dompe, and Vuskovic are the standout players, but the team often relies on individual solutions instead of playing together as a unit.
Their form is inconsistent, with two wins in the last two rounds, but they also have a series of poor performances against stronger opponents.
Away from home, Hamburger SV has not won in 6 matches, with two draws and 4 losses, having a goal difference of 2:12, which clearly highlights their vulnerability on the road. Under pressure, they make many mistakes and struggle to control the pace.
The difference in form, offense, and home-away performance is significant. Hoffenheim has a clear advantage with their aggressive play and offensive power, while Hamburger SV finds it hard to withstand continuous pressure.
1 (Hoffenheim to Win)
Predicted CS: 2:0
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St. Pauli vs Heidenheim
St. Pauli is in 17th place, having earned 8 points so far. The team is not doing well, scoring only 11 goals and allowing 25, which clearly shows serious defensive issues and limited offensive effectiveness. Hountondji and Sinani are the main attacking options, but the team rarely creates consistent pressure and often relies on set pieces or individual efforts. Their form is poor, with no wins in the last 10 matches in the league, including 9 losses.
At home, they have played 6 games with 1 win, 1 draw, and 4 losses, indicating that even home support doesn’t provide a significant advantage. The play is competitive, but there is no clear structure during transitions.
Heidenheim is in 16th place, with 11 points earned so far, just two points ahead of today’s opponent. Even though they are in the relegation zone, the team seems a bit more organized. This season, they have scored 12 goals and conceded 28, which still shows big defensive weaknesses. Schimmer, Conteh, and Fohrenbach are the key players bringing energy and directness to the attack. Their form is inconsistent, but wins against Freiburg and Union Berlin in the last two rounds give them some confidence.
Away from home, they have played 6 matches, with one win and five losses, and a goal difference of 4:15, indicating serious issues when playing under pressure. The team plays directly and with high intensity, but often leaves space behind the defense.
Heidenheim appears to be more specific and effective in crucial moments. St. Pauli will try to impose a fast pace, but the guests have a slight tactical advantage. A tough match with a limited number of goals is expected, just like in the last five encounters.
0-2 (Under 2.5)
Predicted CS: 0:1
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Bayer Leverkusen vs FC Koln
Bayer Leverkusen is in 4th place, having earned 23 points so far. The team is having a strong and offensive season, scoring 28 goals and allowing 19, which shows a high pace and constant attacking pressure. Schick, Grimaldo, and Poku are the key players in the offense, moving a lot, while Tapsoba brings stability to the midfield. Their form is inconsistent, with a win against Dortmund in the DFB Pokal, but also a loss to Augsburg in the league, indicating occasional lapses in concentration. At home, they have played 7 matches, winning 4, drawing 1, and losing 2, with a goal difference of 16:6, which shows a strong performance in front of their fans and clear control of the game rhythm.
FC Koln is in 8th place with 16 points earned so far. The team is having a tough season, scoring 22 goals and allowing 21, with a clear direct style and strong physical approach. El Mala, Kaminski, and Bulter are key players in the attack, while Waldschmidt brings creativity to the midfield. Their form has been shaky, with several draws and losses in recent matches, keeping the team out of the zone that leads to European competitions. On the road, they have played 7 matches, winning two, drawing two, and losing three, with a goal difference of 8:11, showing they can be dangerous but often struggle under continuous pressure. Defensively, they leave space, which could be a problem against fast wingers.
Leverkusen has better quality, stronger home form, and more offensive options, while Koln will try to assert themselves through toughness and direct play. The home team seems closer to winning, but the match has the potential for goals from both sides.
1 (Leverkusen to Win)
Predicted CS: 2:1
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Freiburg vs Dortmund
Freiburg is in 9th place, having earned 16 points so far. The team is having a solid season with a well-balanced style of play, scoring 20 goals and conceding 22, which shows a moderate offensive efficiency but also some defensive weaknesses. Grifo is the main creator and scorer, while Manzambi, Kübler, and Suzuki bring energy and movement on the flanks. The form is positive, with wins against Mainz and Darmstadt in the league and a good performance against Salzburg in the Europa League, which definitely boosts their confidence.
At home, Freiburg has played 6 matches with a record of three wins, two draws, and one loss, along with a goal difference of 13:8, showing they can be strong and organized in front of their fans. The team plays disciplined football, with a clear plan and quick transitions.
Dortmund is in 3rd place with 28 points earned so far. The team is very offensive, scoring 23 goals and allowing 11, which shows their stability and quality in all areas. Guirassy, Beier, and Adeyemi are the main threats up front, while Brandt brings creativity and control to the midfield. Their form is good, with wins in the league and in the Champions League where they drew with Bodo/Glimt, although they faced some tough away matches.
They have played 7 away games and lost only once, with two draws and four losses, having a goal difference of 12:7, which shows their maturity and ability to perform well even on the road. They play with high pressing, quick ball movement, and strong finishing.
Dortmund enters as the favorite due to their quality and form, but Freiburg can be tricky and tactically disciplined at home. The match has the potential for excitement and goals, but with a slight edge for the visitors.
3+ (Over 2.5)
Predicted CS: 2:3
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Bayern Munich vs Mainz
Bayern Munich is in 1st place with 37 points so far. The team is having a dominant season, scoring 49 goals and only allowing 9, which shows their superiority in all aspects of the game. Kane is the absolute leader with amazing scoring, while Diaz, Olise, and Gnabry provide width, speed, and constant offensive pressure. Their form is excellent, with 12 wins and one draw in 13 matches played, and they have strong performances at home. In front of their fans, they have a perfect record of 7 wins in 7 matches and a goal difference of 29:4, confirming their dominance and control of the game. They play with high pressing, deep possession, and constant pressure in the final third, rarely allowing the opponent to take control.
Mainz is currently in 18th place, having earned only 6 points so far. The team is having an extremely tough season, scoring 11 goals and conceding 24, facing serious issues both in attack and defense. Amiri and Sieb are among the few bright spots, but the team struggles to create chances and often falls under constant pressure. Their form is very weak, with several losses in recent matches and minimal improvement in their gameplay.
Away from home, Mainz has played 6 matches, winning only once, drawing once, and losing 4 times, with a goal difference of 6:13, indicating vulnerability and a lack of stability. The defense often collapses against teams that impose a fast pace of play.
The gap between the two teams is significant, both in form and quality. We expect Bayern to dictate the game from the very start, while Mainz will try to defend deeply and avoid a heavy defeat. Anything less than a convincing win for the home team would be a huge surprise.
1 & T1 3+ (Bayern to Win & Over 2.5)
Predicted CS: 4:0
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Werder Bremen vs Stuttgart
Werder Bremen is currently in 11th place, having earned 16 points so far. The team has had a mixed season, scoring 18 goals and conceding 24, which shows they have a decent offense but also some serious defensive issues. Stage, Mbangula, and Njinmah are the main players driving the attack, while Schmid adds creativity from a supporting role. Their form is unstable, with wins, draws, and losses, and the defeat against Hamburger SV last round highlighted the problems in their defensive organization. At home, they have played 6 matches, winning three, drawing two, and losing one, with a goal difference of 8:8. This indicates they are stronger in front of their fans, but they rarely dominate completely. The team plays openly and often leaves space behind their last line.
Stuttgart is in 6th place with 22 points earned so far. The team has an offensive style, scoring 21 goals and allowing 22, which shows they play intense matches with frequent changes in pace. Undav is the key player with great finishing skills, while Demirovic, Tomas, and El Khannouss add extra danger and depth. Their form is inconsistent, but victories in Europe and the Cup provide a positive boost and confidence. Away from home, they have played 7 matches with a record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal difference of 12:14, indicating they can be dangerous but also vulnerable when playing away. The team often engages in open exchanges of attacks.
This is a clash between two teams with a strong offensive approach and defensive weaknesses. Werder Bremen will try to take advantage of their home support, while Stuttgart has more individual quality up front. A dynamic match is expected with goals from both sides and an uncertain finish.
3+ (Over 2.5)
Predicted CS: 2:2
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Context from Bundesliga Matchweek 13 predictions and upcoming coverage in Bundesliga Matchweek 15 predictions provides a clear timeline across matchweeks.