Daily Tipster Picks - 20.09.2026

Analysis

Gremio is sitting in 16th place with 28 points from 27 matches. They have 7 wins, 7 draws, and 13 losses with a goal difference of 30:36. When looking at the 3+ goals bet, the home trend is really interesting. Four of their last five home games had at least three goals: they lost 1:2 to Vasco, won 3:1 against Internacional, won 3:1 against Chapecoense, and won 2:1 against São Paulo. Looking at their overall recent form, they had Over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 matches.

Palmeiras is in 2nd place with 56 points from 27 matches. They have 16 wins, 8 draws, and only 3 losses with a goal difference of 47:21. In their last five matches, only one game had 3+ goals, which was a 2:3 loss to LDU Quito. The other games were 2:0, 0:0, 0:0, and 0:0. So Palmeiras' current Over trend is weaker, especially when they play away.

Gremio had Over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 recent home matches. Palmeiras is playing a more defensive style right now, so this bet isn't super clear-cut. However, if Gremio gets back into their open home game style, we should expect at least three goals.

✅ High Confidence

Analysis

OFI is sitting in 3rd place with 9 points from 4 matches, having won 3 games and lost just 1, with a goal difference of 6:2. Looking at their last five matches shown, they've won 4 times and tied once. Even more impressive is how they play at home – they've won all their last 5 home matches with scores of 2:0, 3:0, 2:0, 2:0, and 3:0.

Asteras Tripolis is in 13th place with only 1 point from 4 matches, with no wins, 1 tie, and 3 losses, and a goal difference of 2:7. In their last five matches shown, they have 1 win, 2 ties, and 2 losses. In the league so far, they still haven't won after playing four rounds.

OFI has 5 straight wins at home, and they haven't even given up a single goal in those matches. On the other hand, Asteras has only earned 1 point in their first four league games. With much better form and strong home performance, we should expect OFI Crete to win.

✅ High Confidence

Analysis

Goias is sitting in 13th place with 39 points from 28 matches. They have 11 wins, 6 draws, and 11 losses with a goal difference of 28:34. Looking at their last five games, three of them had goals from both teams - they won 3:1 against Botafogo SP, 2:1 against São Bernardo, and tied 1:1 against Cuiaba. The team shows pretty good attacking power, but they also give up chances to their opponents pretty regularly.

Avai is in 17th place with 30 points from 28 matches. They have 8 wins, 6 draws, and 14 losses with a goal difference of 29:36. In their last five games, 2 of them had goals from both teams - they tied 1:1 against Vila Nova and lost 1:3 against Novorizontino. When they play away from home, they've had results like 1:3 and 2:1, which shows they can score goals even when visiting.

3 out of the last 4 head-to-head matches between these teams ended with both sides scoring. Even though Avai's recent trend of both teams scoring isn't perfect, Goias had goals from both teams in 3 out of their last 5 games. Plus, when these teams play each other, both sides usually manage to score, so we should expect goals from both teams in this match.

✅ High Confidence

Analysis

Deportivo Merlo is sitting in 17th place with 40 points from 35 matches. They've won 9 games, tied 13 times, and lost 13 games. Their goal difference is 34:49. Looking at their last five matches, they have 2 draws and 3 losses. Both of those tied games ended 0:0 against Defensores Unidos and Ituzaingo. This team really likes to tie games throughout the season.

Flandria is right behind them in 18th place with 38 points from 35 matches. They've won 10 games, tied 8 times, and lost 17 games. Their goal difference is 31:43. In their last five matches, they have 3 wins and 2 losses, so they're playing better right now. However, the two teams are only 2 points apart on the table, which shows that their overall season performance is very similar.

The strongest reason to expect a draw is how close these teams are in the standings and how many ties happen in their games. Dep. Merlo especially ties a lot – 13 draws in 35 rounds, while Flandria has 8. Merlo plays pretty defensive matches, so when two teams that are ranked this close play each other, we should expect the game to end in a tie.

✅ High Confidence