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🏆
1X2
📊
Over/Under 2.5
🥅
BTTS
🎯
Correct Score
📈
Over 0.5 Goals
18 Apr 2026 16:15
WALES › PREMIER LEAGUE • CHAMPIONSHIP GROUP - 32
Caernarfon Town
W D W L W
FT
2 - 0
Penybont
L D L W W
🏟️ The Oval
Caernarfon
Referee: C. Charlton-Fleming

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Caernarfon Town 2 - 0 Penybont
Caernarfon Town Timeline Penybont
1st Half 2 - 0
9'
⚽
A. Cieslewicz normal goal
1 - 0
20'
⚽
R. Owen normal goal
2 - 0
36'
S. Bradley yellow card
2nd Half 0 - 0
57'
P. Mooney yellow card
60'
↔
D. Gosset ↔ I. Lewis Substitution
66'
N. Daley yellow card
66'
J. Jones ↔ K. Owen Substitution
↔
66'
E. Cann ↔ I. Phillips Substitution
↔
71'
C. Venables ↔ A. Baker Substitution
↔
75'
K. Ludvigsen ↔ O. Warlow Substitution
↔
75'
N. Daley ↔ J. Villacorta Substitution
↔
78'
↔
A. Cieslewicz ↔ M. Owen Substitution
79'
↔
S. Bradley ↔ D. Smith Substitution
87'
↔
R. Owen ↔ D. Thomas Substitution
90+4'
A. Baker red card

All Predictions Markets

AI-powered match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top AI Pick
Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

AI Confidence 71.5% High Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 71.5%
View Full Analysis →
👕
1X2 Home Win
Confidence 42.7%
Odds -
🥅
BTTS BTTS Yes
Confidence 61%
Odds -
🧠

AI Insight Summary

Our model highlights Over / Under 2.5 as the strongest available market, with the pick "Over 2.5" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 58.4% Medium
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

64 matches analysed
Caernarfon Town
Caernarfon Town Home
VS
Penybont Away
Penybont
🎟️ 31 Matches Played
🏆 11 Wins
🎯 1.74 Avg Goals
🎟️ 33 Matches Played
🏆 11 Wins
🎯 1.21 Avg Goals
31
Matches Played
33
11
Wins
11
9
Draws
9
11
Losses
13
54
Goals For
40
47
Goals Against
51
1.74
Avg Goals Scored
1.21
1.52
Avg Goals Conceded
1.55
20
BTTS Yes
14
19
Over 2.5
15
6
Clean Sheets
11
6
Failed To Score
13

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

1.74
Average Goals Scored
1.21
1.52
Average Goals Conceded
1.55
20
BTTS Yes
14
19
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
0

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Caernarfon Town
Defensive Edge Caernarfon Town
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 35%
Away Win Rate 33%

Caernarfon Town show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

Last matches: Caernarfon Town
09.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
20.06.26
Fri
Caernarfon Town
Glentoran
2
1
W
03.04.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
2
0
W
27.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
4
L
21.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
1
2
L
13.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
4
L
27.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
20.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
2
L
14.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
0
2
L
06.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
0
0
D
13.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
2
D
31.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Bala Town
1
0
W
27.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
1
2
L
05.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Flint Town United
1
1
D
28.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
2
L
15.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
llanelli AFC
1
1
D
08.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
2
D
01.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Briton Ferry
4
1
W
25.10.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
W
Last matches: Penybont
09.07.26
UEF
Penybont
FC Santa Coloma
0
1
L
23.06.26
Fri
Penybont
Trethomas Bluebirds
3
0
W
02.05.26
Pre
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
0
2
L
28.03.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
2
L
14.03.26
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
1
2
L
03.03.26
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
1
3
L
14.02.26
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
0
D
07.02.26
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
0
6
L
24.01.26
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
0
D
13.01.26
Pre
Penybont
Cardiff MET
1
1
D
01.01.26
Pre
Penybont
llanelli AFC
1
0
W
26.12.25
Pre
Penybont
Briton Ferry
1
1
D
09.12.25
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
1
1
D
29.11.25
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
4
5
L
15.11.25
Pre
Penybont
Bala Town
2
1
W
08.11.25
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
4
L
H2H: Caernarfon Town vs Penybont
18.04.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
W
24.01.26
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
0
D
25.10.25
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
2
W
20.09.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
13.04.25
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
3
1
L
22.02.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
3
2
W
02.11.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
5
L
07.09.24
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
2
0
L
18.05.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
3
1
W
04.11.23
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
4
L
16.09.23
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
3
2
L
07.01.23
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
5
1
L
05.11.22
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
0
2
L
15.04.22
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
0
W
05.03.22
H2H
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
0
3
W
Last matches: Caernarfon Town
09.07.26
UEF
Caernarfon Town
FC Levadia Tallinn
0
5
L
27.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
0
4
L
13.03.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
4
L
27.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
3
0
W
14.02.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
0
2
L
13.01.26
Pre
Caernarfon Town
GAP Connah S Quay FC
2
2
D
27.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Colwyn Bay
1
2
L
05.12.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Flint Town United
1
1
D
08.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Haverfordwest County AFC
2
2
D
01.11.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Briton Ferry
4
1
W
07.10.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
The New Saints
1
3
L
28.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Cardiff MET
0
3
L
20.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
07.09.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Barry Town
3
1
W
25.08.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
Bala Town
2
0
W
16.08.25
Pre
Caernarfon Town
llanelli AFC
6
1
W
H2H at home: Caernarfon Town
18.04.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
W
20.09.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
L
22.02.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
3
2
W
02.11.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
5
L
18.05.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
3
1
W
04.11.23
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
4
L
05.11.22
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
0
2
L
15.04.22
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
0
W
Last matches: Penybont
23.06.26
Fri
Penybont
Trethomas Bluebirds
3
0
W
25.04.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
1
2
L
03.03.26
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
0
1
L
21.02.26
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
1
3
L
07.02.26
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
0
6
L
01.01.26
Pre
Penybont
llanelli AFC
1
0
W
29.11.25
Pre
Penybont
Colwyn Bay
4
5
L
08.11.25
Pre
Penybont
GAP Connah S Quay FC
0
4
L
01.11.25
Pre
Penybont
Flint Town United
4
3
W
11.10.25
Pre
Penybont
The New Saints
2
6
L
03.10.25
Pre
Penybont
Briton Ferry
0
0
D
23.09.25
Pre
Penybont
Cardiff MET
4
0
W
20.09.25
Pre
Penybont
Caernarfon Town
2
1
W
06.09.25
Pre
Penybont
Bala Town
0
0
D
22.08.25
Pre
Penybont
Barry Town
3
2
W
08.08.25
Pre
Penybont
Haverfordwest County AFC
1
0
W
10.07.25
UEF
Penybont
Kauno Žalgiris
0
3
L
H2H away: Penybont
18.04.26
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
0
L
20.09.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
2
W
22.02.25
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
3
2
L
02.11.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
5
W
18.05.24
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
3
1
L
04.11.23
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
2
4
W
05.11.22
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
0
2
W
15.04.22
H2H
Caernarfon Town
Penybont
1
0
L
Caernarfon Town
Caernarfon Town 4-4-2 estimated
Lineups 4-4-2 vs 4-4-2
Penybont 4-4-2 estimated
Penybont
1
C. Roberts
3
M. Jones
5
P. Mooney
🟨
7
P. Mendes
8
D. Gosset
↓
19
S. Bradley
↓🟨
22
A. Cieslewicz
⚽↓
23
J. Lock
24
K. Harrison
25
R. Owen
⚽↓
27
R. Sears
1
L. Armstrong
2
K. Ludvigsen
↓
5
J. Woodiwiss
6
M. Davies
7
N. Wood
8
O. Pritchard
9
C. Venables
↓
10
E. Cann
↓
11
N. Daley
↓🟨
18
J. Jones
↓
29
C. Green
Caernarfon Town Penybont ⚽ Goal 🎯 Assist 🟨 Yellow 🟥 Red ↑ In ↓ Out

Cymru Premier , Championship Round Standings

# Team MP GD PTS Form
1
The New Saints
32 56 80
W W W L W
2
GAP Connah S Quay FC
32 23 58
D L D W W
3
Barry Town
32 10 46
L L W D W
4
Caernarfon Town
32 9 45
W W L L L
5
Colwyn Bay
32 4 45
L D L D W
6
Penybont
32 -10 41
W W L L D
Champions League Qualification
Conference League Qualification
Qualification Playoffs

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Caernarfon Town 2 - 0 Penybont
Caernarfon Town Timeline Penybont
1st Half 2 - 0
9'
⚽
A. Cieslewicz normal goal
1 - 0
20'
⚽
R. Owen normal goal
2 - 0
36'
S. Bradley yellow card
2nd Half 0 - 0
57'
P. Mooney yellow card
60'
↔
D. Gosset ↔ I. Lewis Substitution
66'
N. Daley yellow card
66'
J. Jones ↔ K. Owen Substitution
↔
66'
E. Cann ↔ I. Phillips Substitution
↔
71'
C. Venables ↔ A. Baker Substitution
↔
75'
K. Ludvigsen ↔ O. Warlow Substitution
↔
75'
N. Daley ↔ J. Villacorta Substitution
↔
78'
↔
A. Cieslewicz ↔ M. Owen Substitution
79'
↔
S. Bradley ↔ D. Smith Substitution
87'
↔
R. Owen ↔ D. Thomas Substitution
90+4'
A. Baker red card