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1X2
📊
Over/Under 2.5
🥅
BTTS
🎯
Correct Score
📈
Over 0.5 Goals
09 May 2026 07:00
JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE • REGULAR SEASON - 16
Cerezo Osaka
W D W L W
FT
3 - 2
V-varen Nagasaki
L D L W W
🏟️ Yodoko Sakura Stadium
Osaka
Referee: K. Nagamine

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Cerezo Osaka 3 - 2 V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka Timeline V-varen Nagasaki
1st Half 1 - 1
22'
Motoki Hasegawa penalty confirmed
VAR
25'
0 - 1
R. Yamasaki penalty
⚽
28'
⚽
Thiago Andrade Assist: M. Nakajima
1 - 1
2nd Half 2 - 1
62'
Dudu Giusti ↔ K. Kushibiki Substitution
↔
63'
R. Yamasaki ↔ Matheus Jesus Substitution
↔
63'
N. Campbell ↔ T. Kasayanagi Substitution
↔
63'
⚽
S. Tanaka Assist: M. Shibayama
2 - 1
71'
M. Hasegawa ↔ Thiago Substitution
↔
72'
2 - 2
Matheus Jesus normal goal
⚽
83'
S. Yoneda ↔ T. Matsumoto Substitution
↔
85'
↔
M. Nakajima ↔ S. Kagawa Substitution
85'
↔
M. Shibayama ↔ S. Homma Substitution
85'
↔
Y. Yokoyama ↔ S. Uejo Substitution
86'
Thiago Santana yellow card
86'
Riku Yamada yellow card
88'
↔
Thiago Andrade ↔ S. Sakuragawa Substitution
90'
⚽
S. Kagawa penalty
3 - 2
90+2'
VAR
Solomon Sakuragawa penalty confirmed
90+11'
Kosuke Nakamura yellow card
90+11'
↔
N. Ishiwatari ↔ H. Tanaka Substitution

All Predictions Markets

AI-powered match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top AI Pick
Corners O/U

Over 7.5 Corners

AI Confidence 87.3% High Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 87.3%
View Full Analysis →
👕
1X2 No Draw
Confidence 81%
Odds -
🥅
BTTS BTTS No
Confidence 26%
Odds -
⚽
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
Confidence 35.4%
Odds -
⏱️
HT / FT Home / Home
Confidence -
Odds -
🎯
Correct Score 2-0
Confidence -
Odds -
🧠

AI Insight Summary

Our model highlights Corners O/U as the strongest available market, with the pick "Over 7.5 Corners" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 38.3% Low
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

32 matches analysed
Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka Home
VS
V-varen Nagasaki Away
V-varen Nagasaki
🎟️ 16 Matches Played
🏆 4 Wins
🎯 0.94 Avg Goals
🎟️ 16 Matches Played
🏆 7 Wins
🎯 1.13 Avg Goals
16
Matches Played
16
4
Wins
7
6
Draws
1
6
Losses
8
15
Goals For
18
16
Goals Against
22
0.94
Avg Goals Scored
1.13
1
Avg Goals Conceded
1.38
8
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
8
6
Clean Sheets
4
5
Failed To Score
4

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

0.94
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.38
8
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
8
3.67
Shots on Goal
3.67

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge V-varen Nagasaki
Defensive Edge Cerezo Osaka
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 25%
Away Win Rate 44%

V-varen Nagasaki show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

Cerezo Osaka Cerezo Osaka

Match Statistics

V-varen Nagasaki V-varen Nagasaki
8
🎯 Shots on Goal
4
7
✕ Shots off Goal
3
6
🛡️ Blocked Shots
0
8
🚩 Corner Kicks
3
9
🦶 Fouls
14
66%
◐ Ball Possession
34%
21
⚽ Total Shots
7
520
↔ Total passes
271
439
✓ Passes accurate
176
1
🟨 Yellow Cards
2
0
🟥 Red Cards
0
Last matches: Cerezo Osaka
06.06.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
3
1
W
30.05.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
2
2
D
24.05.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
3
2
W
17.05.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
6
1
W
06.05.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
1
1
D
03.05.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
1
1
D
29.04.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
0
0
D
25.04.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
2
L
18.04.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
3
0
W
11.04.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
1
0
W
04.04.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
0
3
L
22.03.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
1
1
D
18.03.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
1
2
L
14.03.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
2
1
W
07.03.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
0
0
D
28.02.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
0
1
L
22.02.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
2
L
15.02.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
2
0
W
08.02.26
Fri
Cerezo Osaka
TIAMO Hirakata
1
2
L
07.02.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
0
0
D
Last matches: V-varen Nagasaki
06.06.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
W
30.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
W
23.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
0
1
L
17.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
2
2
D
06.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
2
1
W
03.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
1
2
L
29.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
2
1
W
25.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
1
1
D
18.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
2
L
11.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
0
1
L
05.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
0
3
L
21.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
1
0
W
18.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
1
2
L
15.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
1
0
W
08.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
2
3
L
28.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
1
0
W
21.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
3
1
W
13.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
0
2
L
06.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
3
L
17.01.26
Fri
V-varen Nagasaki
Omiya Ardija
2
0
W
H2H: Cerezo Osaka vs V-varen Nagasaki
09.05.26
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
3
2
W
28.02.26
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
1
0
L
19.08.18
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
0
2
W
05.05.18
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
3
1
W
11.09.16
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
2
0
W
08.06.16
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
1
2
W
14.11.15
H2H
V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka
2
0
L
17.05.15
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
1
2
L
Last matches: Cerezo Osaka
30.05.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
FC Tokyo
2
2
D
17.05.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus
6
1
W
03.05.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Avispa Fukuoka
1
1
D
18.04.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Kyoto Sanga
3
0
W
22.03.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Vissel Kobe
1
1
D
18.03.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Fagiano Okayama
1
2
L
07.03.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
0
0
D
22.02.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1
2
L
08.02.26
Fri
Cerezo Osaka
TIAMO Hirakata
1
2
L
07.02.26
J1
Cerezo Osaka
Gamba Osaka
0
0
D
H2H at home: Cerezo Osaka
09.05.26
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
3
2
W
05.05.18
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
3
1
W
11.09.16
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
2
0
W
17.05.15
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
1
2
L
Last matches: V-varen Nagasaki
06.06.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Mito Hollyhock
1
0
W
23.05.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Kyoto Sanga
0
1
L
29.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Shimizu S-pulse
2
1
W
18.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0
2
L
11.04.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Avispa Fukuoka
0
1
L
21.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Fagiano Okayama
1
0
W
08.03.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Gamba Osaka
2
3
L
21.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Nagoya Grampus
3
1
W
13.02.26
J1
V-varen Nagasaki
Vissel Kobe
0
2
L
17.01.26
Fri
V-varen Nagasaki
Omiya Ardija
2
0
W
H2H away: V-varen Nagasaki
09.05.26
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
3
2
L
05.05.18
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
3
1
L
11.09.16
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
2
0
L
17.05.15
H2H
Cerezo Osaka
V-varen Nagasaki
1
2
W
Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka 4-2-3-1
Lineups 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-2-1
V-varen Nagasaki 3-4-2-1
V-varen Nagasaki
23
K. Nakamura
🟨
27
D. Cools
4
R. Inoue
44
S. Hatanaka
16
H. Okuda
18
N. Ishiwatari
↓
10
S. Tanaka
⚽
48
M. Shibayama
🎯↓
13
M. Nakajima
🎯↓
14
Y. Yokoyama
↓
11
Thiago Andrade
⚽↓
13
G. Hatano
48
H. Teruyama
4
Dudu Giusti
↓
22
H. Onaga
3
M. Sekiguchi
24
R. Yamada
🟨
5
H. Yamaguchi
23
S. Yoneda
↓
41
M. Hasegawa
↓
11
N. Campbell
↓
18
R. Yamasaki
⚽↓
Cerezo Osaka V-varen Nagasaki ⚽ Goal 🎯 Assist 🟨 Yellow 🟥 Red ↑ In ↓ Out

West Standings

# Team MP GD PTS Form
1
Vissel Kobe
18 4 35
?
2
Cerezo Osaka
18 9 31
?
3
Nagoya Grampus
18 2 31
?
4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
18 8 30
?
5
Gamba Osaka
18 6 28
?
6
Fagiano Okayama
18 -3 26
?
7
Shimizu S-pulse
18 -2 24
?
8
Kyoto Sanga
18 -6 23
?
9
V-varen Nagasaki
18 -8 21
?
10
Avispa Fukuoka
18 -10 21
?
Promotion - J1 League (Play Offs)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 17th place)
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Cerezo Osaka 3 - 2 V-varen Nagasaki
Cerezo Osaka Timeline V-varen Nagasaki
1st Half 1 - 1
22'
Motoki Hasegawa penalty confirmed
VAR
25'
0 - 1
R. Yamasaki penalty
⚽
28'
⚽
Thiago Andrade Assist: M. Nakajima
1 - 1
2nd Half 2 - 1
62'
Dudu Giusti ↔ K. Kushibiki Substitution
↔
63'
R. Yamasaki ↔ Matheus Jesus Substitution
↔
63'
N. Campbell ↔ T. Kasayanagi Substitution
↔
63'
⚽
S. Tanaka Assist: M. Shibayama
2 - 1
71'
M. Hasegawa ↔ Thiago Substitution
↔
72'
2 - 2
Matheus Jesus normal goal
⚽
83'
S. Yoneda ↔ T. Matsumoto Substitution
↔
85'
↔
M. Nakajima ↔ S. Kagawa Substitution
85'
↔
M. Shibayama ↔ S. Homma Substitution
85'
↔
Y. Yokoyama ↔ S. Uejo Substitution
86'
Thiago Santana yellow card
86'
Riku Yamada yellow card
88'
↔
Thiago Andrade ↔ S. Sakuragawa Substitution
90'
⚽
S. Kagawa penalty
3 - 2
90+2'
VAR
Solomon Sakuragawa penalty confirmed
90+11'
Kosuke Nakamura yellow card
90+11'
↔
N. Ishiwatari ↔ H. Tanaka Substitution