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Over 0.5 Goals

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München — Result and Match Statistics

25 Apr 2026 13:30
GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA • REGULAR SEASON - 31
FSV Mainz 05
W D W L W
FT
3 - 4
Bayern München
L D L W W
🏟️ Mewa Arena
Referee: Martin Petersen, Germany

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

FSV Mainz 05 3 - 4 Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05 Timeline Bayern München
1st Half 3 - 0
15'
⚽
D. Kohr Assist: K. Sano
1 - 0
20'
Dominik Kohr yellow card
29'
⚽
P. Nebel normal goal
2 - 0
33'
Konrad Laimer yellow card
45'
⚽
S. Becker normal goal
3 - 0
2nd Half 0 - 4
46'
L. Diaz ↔ M. Olise Substitution
↔
46'
A. Pavlovic ↔ H. Kane Substitution
↔
53'
3 - 1
N. Jackson Assist: K. Laimer
⚽
57'
A. Davies ↔ J. Stanisic Substitution
↔
57'
R. Guerreiro ↔ J. Musiala Substitution
↔
71'
↔
S. Becker ↔ A. Sieb Substitution
73'
3 - 2
M. Olise Assist: K. Laimer
⚽
77'
B. Ndiaye ↔ J. Tah Substitution
↔
79'
↔
N. Amiri ↔ L. Maloney Substitution
80'
↔
S. Widmer ↔ A. Caci Substitution
80'
3 - 3
J. Musiala normal goal
⚽
83'
3 - 4
H. Kane normal goal
⚽
85'
↔
P. Nebel ↔ W. Boving Substitution
85'
↔
D. Kohr ↔ N. Weiper Substitution
90+7'
Michael Olise yellow card

All Predictions Markets

Soccer match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top Pick
Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Confidence 87.6% High Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 87.6%
View Full Analysis →
👕
1X2 Away Win
Confidence 65.2%
Odds -
🥅
BTTS BTTS Yes
Confidence 79.8%
Odds -

Insight Summary

Our model highlights Over / Under 2.5 as the strongest available market, with the pick "Over 2.5" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 77.5% High
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

90 matches analysed
FSV Mainz 05
FSV Mainz 05 Home
VS
Bayern München Away
Bayern München
🎟️ 42 Matches Played
🏆 15 Wins
🎯 1.24 Avg Goals
🎟️ 48 Matches Played
🏆 40 Wins
🎯 3.44 Avg Goals
42
Matches Played
48
15
Wins
40
12
Draws
4
15
Losses
4
52
Goals For
165
55
Goals Against
50
1.24
Avg Goals Scored
3.44
1.31
Avg Goals Conceded
1.04
22
BTTS Yes
32
19
Over 2.5
44
9
Clean Sheets
14
13
Failed To Score
2

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

1.24
Average Goals Scored
3.44
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.04
22
BTTS Yes
32
19
Over 2.5
44
3.88
Shots on Goal
8.25

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Bayern München
Defensive Edge Bayern München
BTTS Signal Strong BTTS profile
Goals Trend Good Over 2.5 trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 36%
Away Win Rate 83%

Bayern München show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

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