⚙️
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🏆
1X2
📊
Over/Under 2.5
🥅
BTTS
🎯
Correct Score
📈
Over 0.5 Goals
25 Apr 2026 19:10
ECUADOR › LIGA PRO • REGULAR SEASON - 11
Independiente del Valle
W D W L W
FT
2 - 1
Leones del Norte
L D L W W
🏟️ Estadio Banco Guayaquil
Referee: Juan Carlos Andrade Arreaga, Ecuador

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Independiente del Valle 2 - 1 Leones del Norte
Independiente del Valle Timeline Leones del Norte
1st Half 1 - 1
26'
Ariel Aguas yellow card
28'
0 - 1
S. Arrieta Assist: S. Portocarrero
⚽
31'
Leonel Nazareno yellow card
33'
S. Arrieta ↔ C. Solano Substitution
↔
45'
⚽
M. Perello Assist: D. Reasco
1 - 1
45+4'
VAR
Matías Perello goal confirmed
45+9'
Jhegson Méndez yellow card
45+12'
Cristhian Solano goal cancelled
VAR
2nd Half 1 - 0
46'
↔
M. Perello ↔ A. Rodriguez Substitution
46'
↔
A. Velasco ↔ M. Carabajal Substitution
48'
⚽
D. Reasco normal goal
2 - 1
53'
J. Cabeza ↔ M. Caramuto Substitution
↔
53'
A. Aguas ↔ E. Pepinos Substitution
↔
68'
↔
J. Espinoza ↔ D. A. Romero Padilla Substitution
68'
↔
J. Mendez ↔ J. Alcivar Substitution
85'
↔
E. Pata ↔ D. Guagua Substitution
85'
Caicedo Nestor Substitution
↔
85'
D. Pazmino ↔ M. De La Cruz Substitution
↔
90+5'
Juan Anangono yellow card
90+7'
Jonathan Arroyo yellow card

All Predictions Markets

Soccer match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top Pick
1X2

Home Win

Confidence 87.7% High Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 87.7%
View Full Analysis →
🥅
BTTS BTTS Yes
Confidence 59.4%
Odds -
⚽
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
Confidence 56.8%
Odds -

Insight Summary

Our model highlights 1X2 as the strongest available market, with the pick "Home Win" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 68% Medium
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

23 matches analysed
Independiente del Valle
Independiente del Valle Home
VS
Leones del Norte Away
Leones del Norte
🎟️ 13 Matches Played
🏆 8 Wins
🎯 1.62 Avg Goals
🎟️ 10 Matches Played
🏆 2 Wins
🎯 0.7 Avg Goals
13
Matches Played
10
8
Wins
2
2
Draws
4
3
Losses
4
21
Goals For
7
13
Goals Against
10
1.62
Avg Goals Scored
0.7
1
Avg Goals Conceded
1
6
BTTS Yes
3
6
Over 2.5
3
5
Clean Sheets
4
3
Failed To Score
5

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

1.62
Average Goals Scored
0.7
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
6
BTTS Yes
3
6
Over 2.5
3
5.58
Shots on Goal
2.6

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Independiente del Valle
Defensive Edge Balanced
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 62%
Away Win Rate 20%

Independiente del Valle show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

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