⚙️
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🏆
1X2
📊
Over/Under 2.5
🥅
BTTS
🎯
Correct Score
📈
Over 0.5 Goals
15 Jul 2026 23:00
USA › USL CHAMPIONSHIP • GROUP STAGE
Lexington
W D W L W
FT
1 - 4
New Mexico United
L D L W W
🏟️ Toyota Stadium
Referee: E. Osmanovic

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Lexington 1 - 4 New Mexico United
Lexington Timeline New Mexico United
1st Half 0 - 2
28'
T. Blackett yellow card
40'
A. Ordonez yellow card
42'
0 - 1
G. Hurst penalty
⚽
45'
0 - 2
V. Noel Assist: O. Jabang
⚽
45+5'
J. Greene yellow card
2nd Half 1 - 2
61'
↔
Nick Firmino ↔ T. Scott Substitution
62'
0 - 3
G. Hurst Assist: J. Melto Quiah
⚽
64'
B. Ferri yellow card
65'
↔
B. Ferri ↔ M. Adedokun Substitution
65'
↔
A. Ordonez ↔ J. Hafferty Substitution
68'
0 - 4
J. Melto Quiah Assist: V. Noel
⚽
69'
C. Nava ↔ C. Wilkerson Substitution
↔
69'
V. Noel ↔ L. Archimede Substitution
↔
70'
⚽
P. Goodrum normal goal
1 - 4
83'
↔
B. P. Rodrigues ↔ M. Yosef Substitution
85'
J. Brown yellow card
86'
G. Hurst ↔ G. Zelalem Substitution
↔
86'
O. Jabang ↔ D. Harris Substitution
↔
90'
G. Zelalem yellow card
90+1'
M. Hemmi yellow card
90+2'
Z. Bailey ↔ N. Reid-Stephen Substitution
↔

All Predictions Markets

Soccer match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
👕
1X2 Home Win
Confidence 53.9%
Odds -
⚽
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
Confidence 78.2%
Odds -
🚩
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
Confidence 92%
Odds -
⏱️
HT / FT Home / Home
Confidence -
Odds -
🎯
Correct Score 2-1
Confidence -
Odds -

Insight Summary

Our model highlights BTTS as the strongest available market, with the pick "Yes" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 51.5% Low
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

35 matches analysed
Lexington
Lexington Home
VS
New Mexico United Away
New Mexico United
🎟️ 18 Matches Played
🏆 9 Wins
🎯 1.61 Avg Goals
🎟️ 17 Matches Played
🏆 7 Wins
🎯 1.29 Avg Goals
18
Matches Played
17
9
Wins
7
3
Draws
4
6
Losses
6
29
Goals For
22
24
Goals Against
25
1.61
Avg Goals Scored
1.29
1.33
Avg Goals Conceded
1.47
12
BTTS Yes
9
13
Over 2.5
9
4
Clean Sheets
5
4
Failed To Score
4

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

1.61
Average Goals Scored
1.29
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
12
BTTS Yes
9
13
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Lexington
Defensive Edge Lexington
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 50%
Away Win Rate 41%

Lexington show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

Last matches: Lexington
27.08.26
USL
Lexington
New Mexico United
1
2
L
22.08.26
USL
Lexington
Las Vegas Lights
2
0
W
16.08.26
USL
Lexington
Sacramento Republic
0
1
L
08.08.26
USL
Lexington
Phoenix Rising
1
0
W
01.08.26
USL
Lexington
Monterey Bay
3
2
W
26.07.26
USL
Lexington
FC Tulsa
0
0
D
22.07.26
USL
Lexington
Oakland Roots
2
0
W
04.07.26
USL
Lexington
Tampa Bay Rowdies
4
1
W
13.06.26
USL
Lexington
San Antonio
2
0
W
31.05.26
USL
Lexington
El Paso Locomotive
4
1
W
23.05.26
USL
Lexington
Indy Eleven
1
3
L
08.05.26
USL
Lexington
Monterey Bay
3
1
W
03.05.26
USL
Lexington
Las Vegas Lights
1
2
L
19.04.26
USL
Lexington
Orange County SC
0
0
D
11.04.26
USL
Lexington
Rhode Island
1
3
L
04.04.26
USL
Lexington
Colorado Springs
1
1
D
29.03.26
USL
Lexington
San Antonio
0
2
L
25.03.26
USL
Lexington
Brooklyn
3
0
W
14.03.26
USL
Lexington
Sacramento Republic
0
0
D
07.03.26
USL
Lexington
Louisville City
1
2
L
Last matches: New Mexico United
27.08.26
USL
New Mexico United
Lexington
2
1
W
22.08.26
USL
New Mexico United
Loudoun United
0
0
D
16.08.26
USL
New Mexico United
FC Tulsa
1
0
W
09.08.26
USL
New Mexico United
Monterey Bay
5
2
W
02.08.26
USL
New Mexico United
Colorado Springs
1
0
W
05.07.26
USL
New Mexico United
Oakland Roots
2
1
W
02.07.26
Fri
New Mexico United
Atlante FC
3
3
D
21.06.26
USL
New Mexico United
Sacramento Republic
1
0
W
14.06.26
USL
New Mexico United
Orange County SC
1
1
D
30.05.26
USL
New Mexico United
Hartford Athletic
0
0
D
24.05.26
USL
New Mexico United
Charleston Battery
1
0
W
21.05.26
USL
New Mexico United
Tampa Bay Rowdies
0
1
L
10.05.26
USL
New Mexico United
Las Vegas Lights
3
1
W
07.05.26
USL
New Mexico United
El Paso Locomotive
2
2
D
12.04.26
USL
New Mexico United
Phoenix Rising
0
3
L
05.04.26
USL
New Mexico United
Orange County SC
1
0
W
28.03.26
USL
New Mexico United
Colorado Springs
3
2
W
22.03.26
USL
New Mexico United
San Antonio
0
1
L
15.03.26
USL
New Mexico United
Oakland Roots
1
2
L
28.02.26
Fri
New Mexico United
El Paso Locomotive
1
4
L
H2H: Lexington vs New Mexico United
27.08.26
H2H
New Mexico United
Lexington
2
1
L
15.07.26
H2H
Lexington
New Mexico United
1
4
L
28.09.25
H2H
New Mexico United
Lexington
2
1
L
14.06.25
H2H
Lexington
New Mexico United
2
1
W
Last matches: Lexington
22.08.26
USL
Lexington
Las Vegas Lights
2
0
W
08.08.26
USL
Lexington
Phoenix Rising
1
0
W
01.08.26
USL
Lexington
Monterey Bay
3
2
W
22.07.26
USL
Lexington
Oakland Roots
2
0
W
13.06.26
USL
Lexington
San Antonio
2
0
W
08.05.26
USL
Lexington
Monterey Bay
3
1
W
11.04.26
USL
Lexington
Rhode Island
1
3
L
25.03.26
USL
Lexington
Brooklyn
3
0
W
14.03.26
USL
Lexington
Sacramento Republic
0
0
D
07.03.26
USL
Lexington
Louisville City
1
2
L
27.02.26
Fri
Lexington
Fort Wayne
2
1
W
H2H at home: Lexington
15.07.26
H2H
Lexington
New Mexico United
1
4
L
14.06.25
H2H
Lexington
New Mexico United
2
1
W
Last matches: New Mexico United
22.08.26
USL
New Mexico United
Loudoun United
0
0
D
09.08.26
USL
New Mexico United
Monterey Bay
5
2
W
21.06.26
USL
New Mexico United
Sacramento Republic
1
0
W
30.05.26
USL
New Mexico United
Hartford Athletic
0
0
D
12.04.26
USL
New Mexico United
Phoenix Rising
0
3
L
05.04.26
USL
New Mexico United
Orange County SC
1
0
W
22.03.26
USL
New Mexico United
San Antonio
0
1
L
15.03.26
USL
New Mexico United
Oakland Roots
1
2
L
28.02.26
Fri
New Mexico United
El Paso Locomotive
1
4
L
H2H away: New Mexico United
15.07.26
H2H
Lexington
New Mexico United
1
4
W
14.06.25
H2H
Lexington
New Mexico United
2
1
L
Lexington
Lexington 4-4-2 estimated
Lineups 4-4-2 vs 4-4-2
New Mexico United 4-4-2 estimated
New Mexico United
17
O. Semmle
12
X. Zengue
4
A. Ordonez
↓🟨
23
J. Brown
🟨
2
J. Greene
🟨
16
B. Ferri
↓🟨
6
A. Molloy
8
Nick Firmino
↓
27
B. P. Rodrigues
↓
7
M. Epps
9
P. Goodrum
⚽
13
K. Shakes
27
M. Howell
24
T. Blackett
🟨
2
N. Hamalainen
3
C. Gloster
15
O. Jabang
🎯↓
19
Z. Bailey
↓
11
C. Nava
↓
21
V. Noel
⚽🎯↓
31
J. Melto Quiah
⚽🎯
10
G. Hurst
⚽ 2↓
Lexington New Mexico United ⚽ Goal 🎯 Assist 🟨 Yellow 🟥 Red ↑ In ↓ Out

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Lexington 1 - 4 New Mexico United
Lexington Timeline New Mexico United
1st Half 0 - 2
28'
T. Blackett yellow card
40'
A. Ordonez yellow card
42'
0 - 1
G. Hurst penalty
⚽
45'
0 - 2
V. Noel Assist: O. Jabang
⚽
45+5'
J. Greene yellow card
2nd Half 1 - 2
61'
↔
Nick Firmino ↔ T. Scott Substitution
62'
0 - 3
G. Hurst Assist: J. Melto Quiah
⚽
64'
B. Ferri yellow card
65'
↔
B. Ferri ↔ M. Adedokun Substitution
65'
↔
A. Ordonez ↔ J. Hafferty Substitution
68'
0 - 4
J. Melto Quiah Assist: V. Noel
⚽
69'
C. Nava ↔ C. Wilkerson Substitution
↔
69'
V. Noel ↔ L. Archimede Substitution
↔
70'
⚽
P. Goodrum normal goal
1 - 4
83'
↔
B. P. Rodrigues ↔ M. Yosef Substitution
85'
J. Brown yellow card
86'
G. Hurst ↔ G. Zelalem Substitution
↔
86'
O. Jabang ↔ D. Harris Substitution
↔
90'
G. Zelalem yellow card
90+1'
M. Hemmi yellow card
90+2'
Z. Bailey ↔ N. Reid-Stephen Substitution
↔