⚙️
All Markets
🏆
1X2
📊
Over/Under 2.5
🥅
BTTS
🎯
Correct Score
📈
Over 0.5 Goals
17 Jul 2026 23:00
BRAZIL › SERIE A • REGULAR SEASON - 19
Mirassol
W D W L W
FT
2 - 1
Gremio
L D L W W
🏟️ Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia
Mirassol
Referee: B. Arleu

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Mirassol 2 - 1 Gremio
Mirassol Timeline Gremio
1st Half 2 - 0
16'
⚽
Bruno Santos Assist: Igor Formiga
1 - 0
37'
VAR
Denilson red card cancelled
38'
Denilson yellow card
40'
⚽
Edson Carioca Assist: Denilson
2 - 0
41'
Walter Kannemann yellow card
2nd Half 0 - 1
46'
Francis Amuzu ↔ Willian Substitution
↔
46'
Caio Paulista ↔ Pedro Gabriel Substitution
↔
46'
Gabriel Mec ↔ Martin Braithwaite Substitution
↔
46'
Mathias Villasanti ↔ Leonel Pérez Substitution
↔
65'
Gustavo Martins yellow card
72'
↔
Edson Carioca ↔ Carlos Eduardo Substitution
75'
↔
Bruno Santos ↔ André Luis Substitution
76'
↔
Japa ↔ Shaylon Substitution
77'
2 - 1
Carlos Vinícius Assist: Cristian Pavón
⚽
79'
Leonel Pérez yellow card
80'
Juan Nardoni ↔ Riquelme Freitas Substitution
↔
83'
↔
Alesson ↔ Fernandinho Substitution
83'
↔
Denilson ↔ Chico Substitution
86'
Tetê ↔ Marcos Rocha Substitution
↔

All Predictions Markets

Soccer match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top Pick
Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Confidence 77.2% High Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 77.2%
View Full Analysis →
👕
1X2 Home Win
Confidence 55.6%
Odds -
🥅
BTTS Yes
Confidence 75.1%
Odds -
🚩
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
Confidence 78.5%
Odds -
⏱️
HT / FT Home / Home
Confidence -
Odds -
🎯
Correct Score 2-1
Confidence -
Odds -

Insight Summary

Our model highlights Over / Under 2.5 as the strongest available market, with the pick "Over 2.5" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 47.7% Low
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

50 matches analysed
Mirassol
Mirassol Home
VS
Gremio Away
Gremio
🎟️ 23 Matches Played
🏆 8 Wins
🎯 1.09 Avg Goals
🎟️ 27 Matches Played
🏆 10 Wins
🎯 1.26 Avg Goals
23
Matches Played
27
8
Wins
10
4
Draws
8
11
Losses
9
25
Goals For
34
28
Goals Against
30
1.09
Avg Goals Scored
1.26
1.22
Avg Goals Conceded
1.11
11
BTTS Yes
14
10
Over 2.5
12
4
Clean Sheets
9
8
Failed To Score
8

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

1.09
Average Goals Scored
1.26
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
11
BTTS Yes
14
10
Over 2.5
12
4.35
Shots on Goal
3.64

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Gremio
Defensive Edge Gremio
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 35%
Away Win Rate 37%

Gremio show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

Mirassol Mirassol

Match Statistics

Gremio Gremio
3
🎯 Shots on Goal
4
9
✕ Shots off Goal
3
2
🛡️ Blocked Shots
2
5
🚩 Corner Kicks
4
14
🦶 Fouls
9
45%
◐ Ball Possession
55%
14
⚽ Total Shots
9
340
↔ Total passes
445
273
✓ Passes accurate
371
1
🟨 Yellow Cards
3
0
🟥 Red Cards
0
Last matches: Mirassol
23.08.26
Ser
Mirassol
Santos
1
1
D
20.08.26
CON
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
16.08.26
Ser
Mirassol
Flamengo
1
5
L
13.08.26
CON
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
09.08.26
Ser
Mirassol
Cruzeiro
1
3
L
29.07.26
Ser
Mirassol
Remo
2
1
W
25.07.26
Ser
Mirassol
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Mirassol
Atletico Paranaense
0
1
L
26.05.26
CON
Mirassol
Lanus
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Mirassol
Fluminense
1
0
W
20.05.26
CON
Mirassol
Always Ready
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Mirassol
Atletico-MG
1
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Mirassol
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
07.05.26
CON
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
2
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Mirassol
Corinthians
2
1
W
29.04.26
CON
Mirassol
Always Ready
2
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Mirassol
Internacional
2
1
W
15.04.26
CON
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Mirassol
Bahia
1
2
L
Last matches: Gremio
23.08.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
16.08.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
0
3
L
08.08.26
Ser
Gremio
Sao Paulo
2
1
W
30.07.26
CON
Gremio
Bolívar
0
1
L
26.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Fluminense
1
1
D
23.07.26
CON
Gremio
Bolívar
2
3
L
12.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
26.05.26
CON
Gremio
Atletico Torque
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
21.05.26
CON
Gremio
Palestino
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
05.05.26
CON
Gremio
Deportivo Riestra
3
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
30.04.26
CON
Gremio
Palestino
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
H2H: Mirassol vs Gremio
05.08.26
H2H
Gremio
Mirassol
1
0
L
02.08.26
H2H
Mirassol
Gremio
1
1
D
17.07.26
H2H
Mirassol
Gremio
2
1
W
13.09.25
H2H
Gremio
Mirassol
0
1
W
16.04.25
H2H
Mirassol
Gremio
4
1
W
02.03.22
H2H
Mirassol
Gremio
3
2
W
Last matches: Mirassol
16.08.26
Ser
Mirassol
Flamengo
1
5
L
13.08.26
CON
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
1
1
D
29.07.26
Ser
Mirassol
Remo
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Mirassol
Fluminense
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Mirassol
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
07.05.26
CON
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
2
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Mirassol
Corinthians
2
1
W
29.04.26
CON
Mirassol
Always Ready
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Mirassol
Bahia
1
2
L
08.04.26
CON
Mirassol
Lanus
1
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Mirassol
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Mirassol
Coritiba
0
1
L
11.03.26
Ser
Mirassol
Santos
2
2
D
11.02.26
Ser
Mirassol
Cruzeiro
2
2
D
29.01.26
Ser
Mirassol
Vasco DA Gama
2
1
W
H2H at home: Mirassol
02.08.26
H2H
Mirassol
Gremio
1
1
D
17.07.26
H2H
Mirassol
Gremio
2
1
W
16.04.25
H2H
Mirassol
Gremio
4
1
W
02.03.22
H2H
Mirassol
Gremio
3
2
W
Last matches: Gremio
23.08.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
16.08.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
0
3
L
23.07.26
CON
Gremio
Bolívar
2
3
L
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
05.05.26
CON
Gremio
Deportivo Riestra
3
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
30.04.26
CON
Gremio
Palestino
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
09.04.26
CON
Gremio
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
16.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
12.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Sao Paulo
0
2
L
28.01.26
Ser
Gremio
Fluminense
1
2
L
H2H away: Gremio
02.08.26
H2H
Mirassol
Gremio
1
1
D
17.07.26
H2H
Mirassol
Gremio
2
1
L
16.04.25
H2H
Mirassol
Gremio
4
1
L
02.03.22
H2H
Mirassol
Gremio
3
2
L
Mirassol
Mirassol 4-3-3
Lineups 4-3-3 vs 4-3-3
Gremio 4-3-3
Gremio
22
Walter
32
Igor Formiga
🎯
34
João Victor
44
Gabriel Knesowitsch
6
Reinaldo
8
Denilson
🎯↓🟨
21
José Aldo
5
Japa
↓
95
Edson Carioca
⚽↓
30
Bruno Santos
⚽↓
77
Alesson
↓
1
Weverton
7
Cristian Pavón
🎯
6
Gustavo Martins
🟨
4
Walter Kannemann
🟨
38
Caio Paulista
↓
5
Juan Nardoni
↓
20
Mathias Villasanti
↓
37
Gabriel Mec
↓
21
Tetê
↓
95
Carlos Vinícius
⚽
9
Francis Amuzu
↓
Mirassol Gremio ⚽ Goal 🎯 Assist 🟨 Yellow 🟥 Red ↑ In ↓ Out

Serie A Standings

# Team MP GD PTS Form
1
Palmeiras
24 24 51
W L D W L
2
Flamengo
23 24 45
L W W D D
3
Atletico Paranaense
23 11 41
D W D W W
4
Fluminense
24 7 41
W W D D D
5
Cruzeiro
24 1 39
W W W W L
6
Bahia
24 6 37
W D D D D
7
RB Bragantino
23 5 35
W D L D D
8
Coritiba
24 -1 34
W D W L D
9
Atletico-MG
23 3 33
D W D W D
10
Corinthians
24 2 32
L L W D D
11
Botafogo
22 1 30
L D W D W
12
Vitoria
24 -12 29
L W L L L
13
Sao Paulo
23 0 27
L D L D L
14
Santos
23 -3 26
D W L D L
15
Gremio
23 -7 25
L L W D L
16
Internacional
24 -4 25
D D D D L
17
Mirassol
23 -10 24
D L L W D
18
Remo
24 -11 23
L D D L W
19
Vasco DA Gama
23 -14 22
L L D D L
20
Chapecoense-sc
23 -22 14
W D L D L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Mirassol 2 - 1 Gremio
Mirassol Timeline Gremio
1st Half 2 - 0
16'
⚽
Bruno Santos Assist: Igor Formiga
1 - 0
37'
VAR
Denilson red card cancelled
38'
Denilson yellow card
40'
⚽
Edson Carioca Assist: Denilson
2 - 0
41'
Walter Kannemann yellow card
2nd Half 0 - 1
46'
Francis Amuzu ↔ Willian Substitution
↔
46'
Caio Paulista ↔ Pedro Gabriel Substitution
↔
46'
Gabriel Mec ↔ Martin Braithwaite Substitution
↔
46'
Mathias Villasanti ↔ Leonel Pérez Substitution
↔
65'
Gustavo Martins yellow card
72'
↔
Edson Carioca ↔ Carlos Eduardo Substitution
75'
↔
Bruno Santos ↔ André Luis Substitution
76'
↔
Japa ↔ Shaylon Substitution
77'
2 - 1
Carlos Vinícius Assist: Cristian Pavón
⚽
79'
Leonel Pérez yellow card
80'
Juan Nardoni ↔ Riquelme Freitas Substitution
↔
83'
↔
Alesson ↔ Fernandinho Substitution
83'
↔
Denilson ↔ Chico Substitution
86'
Tetê ↔ Marcos Rocha Substitution
↔

Missing Players

Mirassol 3 missing
-
Nathan Fogaca
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Negueba
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Willian Machado
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
Gremio 3 missing
-
M. Braithwaite
Missing Fixture Illness
OUT
-
Marlon
Missing Fixture Broken ankle
OUT
-
Thiago Beltrame
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT