⚙️
All Markets
🏆
1X2
📊
Over/Under 2.5
🥅
BTTS
🎯
Correct Score
📈
Over 0.5 Goals
30 Aug 2026 14:30
PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA • REGULAR SEASON - 4
Nacional
W D W L W
FT
2 - 3
Estrela
L D L W W
🏟️ Estádio da Madeira
Referee: Carlos Macedo, Portugal

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Nacional 2 - 3 Estrela
Nacional Timeline Estrela
1st Half 1 - 1
3'
⚽
Wesley Gasolina Assist: W. Kokolo
1 - 0
40'
↔
F. Soares ↔ M. Djalo Substitution
45'
Ze Vitor yellow card
45+1'
1 - 1
I. Stoica penalty
⚽
2nd Half 1 - 2
48'
W. Kokolo yellow card
62'
1 - 2
A. Marcus Assist: G. Doue
⚽
66'
⚽
Pablo Ruan Assist: Liziero
2 - 2
67'
Robinho ↔ Joan Jordan Substitution
↔
69'
↔
Daniel Junior ↔ S. Gavriel Substitution
69'
↔
Pablo Ruan ↔ A. Obando Substitution
72'
I. Stoica ↔ B. Souza Substitution
↔
78'
↔
W. Kokolo ↔ M. Jensen Substitution
79'
↔
Wesley Gasolina ↔ D. I. de la Cruz Substitution
83'
2 - 3
L. Antonetti Assist: G. Doue
⚽
86'
L. Antonetti yellow card
89'
G. Doue ↔ Bernardo Schappo Substitution
↔

All Predictions Markets

Soccer match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top Pick
BTTS

Yes

Confidence 78.8% High Confidence
Odds 1.75
Value +15%
Win Probability 78.8%
View Full Analysis →
👕
1X2 Home Win
Confidence 72.9%
Odds 2.35
⚽
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
Confidence 61.1%
Odds 1.95
🚩
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
Confidence 77.3%
Odds -
⏱️
HT / FT Home / Home
Confidence -
Odds -
🎯
Correct Score 2-1
Confidence -
Odds 9.50

Insight Summary

Our model highlights BTTS as the strongest available market, with the pick "Yes" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 48.4% Low
Best Odds 9.50 Fair Odds
Value Edge +15% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

17 matches analysed
Nacional
Nacional Home
VS
Estrela Away
Estrela
🎟️ 8 Matches Played
🏆 1 Wins
🎯 1.13 Avg Goals
🎟️ 9 Matches Played
🏆 4 Wins
🎯 1.78 Avg Goals
8
Matches Played
9
1
Wins
4
4
Draws
4
3
Losses
1
9
Goals For
16
11
Goals Against
10
1.13
Avg Goals Scored
1.78
1.38
Avg Goals Conceded
1.11
4
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
4
2
Clean Sheets
3
3
Failed To Score
0

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.78
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
4
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
4
1.75
Shots on Goal
3.67

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Estrela
Defensive Edge Estrela
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 13%
Away Win Rate 44%

Estrela show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

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