⚙️
All Markets
🏆
1X2
📊
Over/Under 2.5
🥅
BTTS
🎯
Correct Score
📈
Over 0.5 Goals
04 May 2026 22:30
URUGUAY › PRIMERA DIVISIóN • APERTURA - 14
Penarol
W D W L W
FT
1 - 1
Defensor Sporting
L D L W W
🏟️ Estadio Campeón del Siglo
Referee: M. De Armas

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Penarol 1 - 1 Defensor Sporting
Penarol Timeline Defensor Sporting
1st Half 1 - 0
1'
Brian Barboza yellow card
16'
Diego Laxalt yellow card
19'
⚽
L. Umpierrez normal goal
1 - 0
43'
Axel Frugone yellow card
2nd Half 0 - 1
46'
↔
D. Laxalt ↔ G. Barbas Substitution
55'
↔
B. Barboza ↔ M. Gonzalez Substitution
55'
↔
F. Gonzalez ↔ S. Muhlethaler Substitution
61'
Matías Arezo yellow card
61'
Francisco Sorondo yellow card
63'
B. Lozano ↔ A. Torterolo Substitution
↔
63'
G. Barrios ↔ N. Wunsch Substitution
↔
68'
1 - 1
B. Montenegro normal goal
⚽
70'
M. Caballero ↔ E. Cuello Substitution
↔
72'
↔
N. Fernandez ↔ A. Hernandez Substitution
77'
Matías González yellow card
79'
F. Castro ↔ V. Rodriguez Substitution
↔
84'
Abel Hernández yellow card
84'
↔
F. Escobar ↔ G. Togni Substitution
90+5'
Washington Aguerre yellow card
90+5'
Washington Aguerre yellow card
90+5'
Washington Aguerre red card

All Predictions Markets

Soccer match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top Pick
1X2

Home Win

Confidence 73.6% High Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 73.6%
View Full Analysis →
🥅
BTTS BTTS No
Confidence 47.3%
Odds -
⚽
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
Confidence 54.4%
Odds -
🚩
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
Confidence 69.1%
Odds -
⏱️
HT / FT Home / Home
Confidence -
Odds -
🎯
Correct Score 2-0
Confidence -
Odds -

Insight Summary

Our model highlights 1X2 as the strongest available market, with the pick "Home Win" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 40.7% Low
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

30 matches analysed
Penarol
Penarol Home
VS
Defensor Sporting Away
Defensor Sporting
🎟️ 16 Matches Played
🏆 7 Wins
🎯 1.31 Avg Goals
🎟️ 14 Matches Played
🏆 5 Wins
🎯 0.79 Avg Goals
16
Matches Played
14
7
Wins
5
3
Draws
5
6
Losses
4
21
Goals For
11
18
Goals Against
9
1.31
Avg Goals Scored
0.79
1.13
Avg Goals Conceded
0.64
9
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
2
4
Clean Sheets
5
3
Failed To Score
6

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

1.31
Average Goals Scored
0.79
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
0.64
9
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
2
4.33
Shots on Goal
3

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Penarol
Defensive Edge Defensor Sporting
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 44%
Away Win Rate 36%

Penarol show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

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