⚙️
All Markets
🏆
1X2
📊
Over/Under 2.5
🥅
BTTS
🎯
Correct Score
📈
Over 0.5 Goals
10 Oct 2026 21:30
URUGUAY › PRIMERA DIVISIóN • CLAUSURA - 10
Penarol
W D W L W
FT
1 - 1
Progreso
L D L W W
🏟️ Estadio Centenario
Referee: Mathias De Armas

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Penarol 1 - 1 Progreso
Penarol Timeline Progreso
1st Half 0 - 1
5'
Marco Antonio Saravia ↔ hernan carroso Substitution
↔
26'
0 - 1
nahuel lopez normal goal
⚽
2nd Half 1 - 0
46'
↔
Roberto Fernández ↔ Abel Hernández Substitution
46'
↔
nahuel herrera ↔ Ignacio alegre Substitution
58'
Cristian Jaime yellow card
61'
↔
leandro umpierrez ↔ eduardo darias Substitution
70'
Ayrton Cougo ↔ Gastón Silva Substitution
↔
70'
Maximiliano Juambeltz ↔ Matteo copelotti Substitution
↔
71'
↔
Thiago Espinosa ↔ Lucas Hernández Substitution
76'
eduardo darias yellow card
78'
↔
Cristian Jaime ↔ Franco González Substitution
83'
Agustín Ocampo ↔ Santino Bruschi Substitution
↔
83'
Facundo De Leon ↔ Agustin Codagnone Substitution
↔
90+2'
⚽
Abel Hernández normal goal
1 - 1

All Predictions Markets

Soccer match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
👕
1X2 Home Win
Confidence 73.1%
Odds 1.38
⚽
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
Confidence 70.3%
Odds 1.90
🚩
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
Confidence 92%
Odds -
⏱️
HT / FT Home / Home
Confidence -
Odds -
🎯
Correct Score 2-1
Confidence -
Odds 8.50

Insight Summary

Our model highlights BTTS as the strongest available market, with the pick "Yes" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 53.6% Low
Best Odds 8.50 Fair Odds
Value Edge +17% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

75 matches analysed
Penarol
Penarol Home
VS
Progreso Away
Progreso
🎟️ 41 Matches Played
🏆 21 Wins
🎯 1.54 Avg Goals
🎟️ 34 Matches Played
🏆 8 Wins
🎯 0.82 Avg Goals
41
Matches Played
34
21
Wins
8
11
Draws
4
9
Losses
22
63
Goals For
28
37
Goals Against
51
1.54
Avg Goals Scored
0.82
0.9
Avg Goals Conceded
1.5
23
BTTS Yes
15
18
Over 2.5
15
12
Clean Sheets
4
7
Failed To Score
15

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

1.54
Average Goals Scored
0.82
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
23
BTTS Yes
15
18
Over 2.5
15
2.23
Shots on Goal
0.6

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Penarol
Defensive Edge Penarol
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 51%
Away Win Rate 24%

Penarol show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

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