⚙️
All Markets
🏆
1X2
📊
Over/Under 2.5
🥅
BTTS
🎯
Correct Score
📈
Over 0.5 Goals
12 Sep 2026 19:00
SPAIN › LA LIGA • REGULAR SEASON - 5
Real Madrid
W D W L W
FT
4 - 1
Rayo Vallecano
L D L W W
🏟️ Bernabéu
Referee: Victor Garcia Verdura, Spain

Match Events

Goals, cards, substitutions and VAR decisions from this fixture.

Real Madrid 4 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid Timeline Rayo Vallecano
1st Half 3 - 0
14'
⚽
Kylian Mbappé penalty
1 - 0
17'
⚽
Álvaro Fernández Carreras Assist: Kylian Mbappé
2 - 0
35'
⚽
Jude Bellingham Assist: Vinícius
3 - 0
45'
↔
Federico Valverde ↔ Eduardo Camavinga Substitution
2nd Half 1 - 1
51'
3 - 1
Sergio Camello normal goal
⚽
67'
Gnangoro Bouare ↔ Óscar Valentín Substitution
↔
67'
Pedro Díaz ↔ Rayane Belaid Substitution
↔
69'
↔
Bernardo Silva ↔ Aurelien Tchouameni Substitution
72'
↔
Yan Diomande ↔ Arda Güler Substitution
75'
Sergio Camello ↔ Alexandre Zurawski Substitution
↔
75'
Unai López ↔ Mujaid Sadick Substitution
↔
76'
Pathé Ciss yellow card
85'
Adrià Pedrosa ↔ Ivan Balliu Substitution
↔
89'
↔
Vinícius ↔ Marc Cucurella Substitution
90+1'
⚽
Kylian Mbappé Assist: Arda Güler
4 - 1

All Predictions Markets

Soccer match picks, confidence ratings and value signals.

AI Model · Pro v3.1
★ Top Pick
Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Confidence 82.2% High Confidence
Odds -
Value +0%
Win Probability 82.2%
View Full Analysis →
👕
1X2 Home Win
Confidence 81.8%
Odds -
🥅
BTTS Yes
Confidence 71.2%
Odds -
🚩
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
Confidence 91.7%
Odds -
⏱️
HT / FT Home / Home
Confidence -
Odds -
🎯
Correct Score 2-1
Confidence -
Odds -

Insight Summary

Our model highlights Over / Under 2.5 as the strongest available market, with the pick "Over 2.5" showing the best current confidence signal.

Confidence 54.5% Low
Best Odds - Fair Odds
Value Edge +0% Expected Value
📊

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

18 matches analysed
Real Madrid
Real Madrid Home
VS
Rayo Vallecano Away
Rayo Vallecano
🎟️ 10 Matches Played
🏆 8 Wins
🎯 2.4 Avg Goals
🎟️ 8 Matches Played
🏆 2 Wins
🎯 1.5 Avg Goals
10
Matches Played
8
8
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
5
24
Goals For
12
8
Goals Against
19
2.4
Avg Goals Scored
1.5
0.8
Avg Goals Conceded
2.38
6
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
7
3
Clean Sheets
0
1
Failed To Score
1

Key Stats

Quick comparison based on available match data

2.4
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
2.38
6
BTTS Yes
7
8
Over 2.5
7
8
Shots on Goal
5.25

Trend Signals

Derived from season data
Attack Edge Real Madrid
Defensive Edge Real Madrid
BTTS Signal Lower BTTS profile
Goals Trend Lower-scoring trend

Quick Verdict

Pre-match summary
Home Win Rate 80%
Away Win Rate 25%

Real Madrid show the stronger season trend before kickoff.

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